Friday, August 12, 2005
AL East Analysis
As we sit today, after the Yankee victory over Texas last night, Boston leads New York by 5 games in both columns. Any Red Sox fan would have taken that number in a heartbeat if you asked on April 3rd, but right now it appears as if the Yankees have even overachieved gien the circumstances, with injuries ravaging their pitching staff.
So, what exactly are the chances of a Boston victory in the AL East?
They've got to be pretty good. Not only is Boston up a 5-spot on the Yankees in the AL East, they have 27 games left at home compared to just 22 on the road. Boston's .667 winning percentage at Fenway this year in certainly encouraging. If the Red Sox play to their season percentages at home and on the road to close out 2005, they will hang up about 95 wins come October 3rd.
The Yankees' chances of matching that number, at at best, minimal. Using that formula to caluclate the Yankee record at the end of the year, they win win only approximately 86 games.
While this formula does not factor in strength of schedule, it certainly is accurate enough to give a basic measure of the two teams' season performance. And, it reveals the Red Sox to be the prohibitive favorite in the AL East.
Cameron, Beltran Updates
Mike Cameron and Carlos Beltran are still in a San Diego hospital following injuries sustained in yesterday's collision. (To view the collision, click here)
Cameron has sustained a broken nose, a mild concussion, and multiple fractures to both cheekbones. He will need surgery and likely is done for 2005.
Beltran, was slightly more lucky, sustaining a mild concussion, abrasions on the left side of his face, a minor displaced facial fracture, and an injury to his left shoulder. No timetable has been set for Carlito's return, but he may be out until September, or later.
Cameron was placed on the 15-day DL, and Victor Diaz has been recalled from Norfolk, presuably to be the regular right fielder for the rest of the season.
Our hearts go out to Cammy and Carlito, Cammy especially, and wish him a safe recovery.
So, what exactly are the chances of a Boston victory in the AL East?
They've got to be pretty good. Not only is Boston up a 5-spot on the Yankees in the AL East, they have 27 games left at home compared to just 22 on the road. Boston's .667 winning percentage at Fenway this year in certainly encouraging. If the Red Sox play to their season percentages at home and on the road to close out 2005, they will hang up about 95 wins come October 3rd.
The Yankees' chances of matching that number, at at best, minimal. Using that formula to caluclate the Yankee record at the end of the year, they win win only approximately 86 games.
While this formula does not factor in strength of schedule, it certainly is accurate enough to give a basic measure of the two teams' season performance. And, it reveals the Red Sox to be the prohibitive favorite in the AL East.
Cameron, Beltran Updates
Mike Cameron and Carlos Beltran are still in a San Diego hospital following injuries sustained in yesterday's collision. (To view the collision, click here)
Cameron has sustained a broken nose, a mild concussion, and multiple fractures to both cheekbones. He will need surgery and likely is done for 2005.
Beltran, was slightly more lucky, sustaining a mild concussion, abrasions on the left side of his face, a minor displaced facial fracture, and an injury to his left shoulder. No timetable has been set for Carlito's return, but he may be out until September, or later.
Cameron was placed on the 15-day DL, and Victor Diaz has been recalled from Norfolk, presuably to be the regular right fielder for the rest of the season.
Our hearts go out to Cammy and Carlito, Cammy especially, and wish him a safe recovery.
# posted by Dave @ 5:19 PM 
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Dave,
There's a chance I do some Yankee bashing that you'd enjoy today on mets guy in michigan. Enjoy!
Dave
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There's a chance I do some Yankee bashing that you'd enjoy today on mets guy in michigan. Enjoy!
Dave
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