Monday, August 29, 2005
NL, AL Wild Card Analyses
Since it's no fun to write about the Mets losing, I decided I'd instead analyze the NL and AL Wild Card races using my "Hanoverian Theorem".
I made a post, entitled "AL East Analysis" (which can be found here), using this theorem. The theorem involves separating the home and road records of each team, and predicting a team's final Won-Lost record by multiplying each team's home and road winning percentages by it's amount of home and road games left, respecively. Got all that?
NL Wild Card Final Predicted Records-Hanoverian Theorem
1. Philadelphia...86-76
2. Florida...86-76
3. Mets...85-77
4. Houston...85-77
I left out Washington because I think they're done, and because of their second half dropoff, I feel the theorem wouldn't produce accurate results. Oh, and by the way...if four teams are separated by 1 game at the end, that would mean it's gonna be a fun September.
AL Wild Card Final Predicted Records-Hanoverian Theorem
1. Oakland...92-70
2. LA Angels...92-70
3. Yankees...91-71
4. Cleveland...90-72
The theorem predicts that Oakland/LA will tie for the AL West crown, with the loser of the tiebreaker taking the Wild Card. Again, with 4 teams projected only 2 games apart, we're in for one hell of a September.
Today's Schedule
Tampa Bay (McClung, 5-7, 6.40) @ Boston (Clement, 11-3, 4.35)
Matt Clement's best friend this year has been run support, and he started out with 10 wins by July 6th, but has won just once since then. McClung is another Tampa Bay retread, but Tampa has done extremely well in the second half, going 26-15.
Yankees (Mussina, 12-8, 4.21) @ Seattle (Franklin, 6-14, 5.29)
The Yankees make their second trip to Safeco this year, after taking 2 of 3 in Seattle back in May. Mike Mussina tries to rebound after his terrible start against Toronto last Wednesday, when he gave up 9 runs in the 5th inning.
I made a post, entitled "AL East Analysis" (which can be found here), using this theorem. The theorem involves separating the home and road records of each team, and predicting a team's final Won-Lost record by multiplying each team's home and road winning percentages by it's amount of home and road games left, respecively. Got all that?
NL Wild Card Final Predicted Records-Hanoverian Theorem
1. Philadelphia...86-76
2. Florida...86-76
3. Mets...85-77
4. Houston...85-77
I left out Washington because I think they're done, and because of their second half dropoff, I feel the theorem wouldn't produce accurate results. Oh, and by the way...if four teams are separated by 1 game at the end, that would mean it's gonna be a fun September.
AL Wild Card Final Predicted Records-Hanoverian Theorem
1. Oakland...92-70
2. LA Angels...92-70
3. Yankees...91-71
4. Cleveland...90-72
The theorem predicts that Oakland/LA will tie for the AL West crown, with the loser of the tiebreaker taking the Wild Card. Again, with 4 teams projected only 2 games apart, we're in for one hell of a September.
Today's Schedule
Tampa Bay (McClung, 5-7, 6.40) @ Boston (Clement, 11-3, 4.35)
Matt Clement's best friend this year has been run support, and he started out with 10 wins by July 6th, but has won just once since then. McClung is another Tampa Bay retread, but Tampa has done extremely well in the second half, going 26-15.
Yankees (Mussina, 12-8, 4.21) @ Seattle (Franklin, 6-14, 5.29)
The Yankees make their second trip to Safeco this year, after taking 2 of 3 in Seattle back in May. Mike Mussina tries to rebound after his terrible start against Toronto last Wednesday, when he gave up 9 runs in the 5th inning.
# posted by Dave @ 4:46 PM 
